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Stocks up after new home contracts rise and unemployment claims suggest hiring …

The four-week average of unemployment claims fell to a three-and-a-half-year low, an indication that hiring could pick up. Also, the number of Americans who signed contracts to buy homes in November rose more than 7 percent to the highest level in a year and a half, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Quincy Krosby, Prudential Financial’s market strategist, said the reports were encouraging signals for the economy going in to 2012.

“The correlation between jobs and housing has been crystal-clear this year,” Krosby said. “Parts of the country where jobs are more plentiful are the ones where the housing market has held up.”

Krosby said the correlation has become more pronounced after the real estate bust, when lenders became reluctant to even consider customers for a mortgage unless they held jobs. She said it’s a noticeable trend in many cities nationwide.

For instance, Boston’s 1.1 percent drop in home prices since last year was one of the lowest among metro areas tracked by SP/Case-Shiller index. The city’s unemployment rate is 6.2 percent, much lower than the national average of 8.6 percent.

The positive housing news sent the stocks of home builders sharply higher. Masco Corp. soared 8.4 percent, the most in the SP 500. PulteGroup Inc. rose 6 percent and Lennar Corp. gained 4.6 percent.

The Dow closed at 12,287.04, a gain of 135.63 points, or 1.1 percent. For the year, the Dow is up 709 points, or 6 percent.

The SP 500 rose 13.38 points, or 1.07 percent, to 1,263.02. That’s just 5 points above where the index started the year.

The technology-heavy Nasdaq composite rose 23.76 points, or 0.92 percent, to 2,613.74. The index if down 39 points for the year.

Trading was very light as investors get ready to close the books on 2011. Markets will be closed Monday in observance of New Year’s Day, which falls on Sunday.

Volume on the New York Stock Exchange was 2 billion shares, less than half of its recent average. Gaining stocks led losing ones four-to-one.

The euro fell to its lowest level against the dollar in more than a year and its lowest against the Japanese yen in a decade. The euro went as low as $1.28 versus the dollar, its weakest since September 2010.

Investors continued to be worried that Italy’s 10-year borrowing rate remains uncomfortably close to 7 percent, a level that economists consider unsustainable. Greece, Ireland and Portugal all had to seek relief from their creditors after their 10-year bond yields rose above 7 percent.

Italy paid 6.98 percent on a 10-year bond auction where it raised $3.3 billion. That’s lower than the 7.56 percent it had to pay at an equivalent auction last month, but not low enough to assuage investors. Italy’s new premier said his government has more to do before it convinces financial markets it can manage the heavy debts that have made it the focus of the euro zone crisis.

In other corporate news:

— Chesapeake Midstream Partners rose 5 percent after the natural gas systems operator agreed to acquire Chesapeake Energy Corp.’s pipeline business.

— Hill International Inc. rose 3 percent after the construction management company was awarded a $3.3 million contract to build a new stadium in Iraq.

— Sears Holdings Corp. fell 1 percent as investors worried over the fate of the retailer, two days after it said it was closing over 100 stores nationwide.

Copyright 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


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Why Boston’s Expensive Real Estate Is A HUGE Problem

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Image: The old Devens barracks via Boston Public Library

Want to know why Boston’s home prices and rents are so high? Look 50 miles to the west, to Vicksburg Square in Devens. So says CommonWealth magazine’s Paul McMorrow in a Globe op-ed this morning.

For two years, a private Boston-based developer, Trinity Financial, has been trying to build 246 apartments, most for veterans, seniors and families making working-class incomes, at the site of an old Army barracks that once housed 9,000 people.

The site is perfect not only because it’s been vacant for 15 years and because, well, if it could house 9,000 people, it could house that much fewer, but because it also sits near an active rail line and a jobs hub. Voila smart growth!

So what’s the hold-up and why’s it matter for Boston?

The problem is that the old Army barracks is controlled by three different towns—Harvard, Ayer and Shirley—and each town has its own issues with the Trinity development plan. Long story, short: a modest plan to build much-needed housing at a vacant site that once, um, housed much more housing has turned contentious and complicated and worthy of a -gate after something (so here goes: Devensgate). McMorrow sees in Devensgate the sort of rigmarole that precludes more residential development throughout Massachusetts, but especially in the more expensive Hub.

States that build housing grow jobs, while states that don’t build housing don’t grow. The inability to add to the state’s supply of housing also explains why apartment rents around Boston have hit record highs in the middle of a deep economic slump. If Trinity is having difficulty building 246 new apartments on an old base that used to house 9,000 people, where, exactly, can anyone build around here?

Where, indeed? The more pressing question might be how soon, as the commonwealth seeks to capitalize on the economic recovery and compete with cities like New York and Providence for jobs, jobs, jobs. Pricey micro-apartments just ain’t going to solve things.

Over 40 percent of the households in the state make less than $50,000 per year—the rough cutoff point for Trinity’s affordable Devens development. A quarter of all renters in Massachusetts are devoting at least half their income to just making rent. Half of the state’s renters are now paying unaffordable rents, a number that’s up dramatically from 10 years ago. In Harvard, one in every three households struggles with the high cost of housing. These aren’t problems for poor towns or rich towns. And they won’t be solved by stonewalling development.

· Barracks Ready-Made for Housing [Globe]
· Will Manhattan Rents Fly in South Boston? [Curbed Boston]

This post originally appeared at Curbed.


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Hope for local buyers


Published on Saturday 31 December 2011 14:07

2012 will see creditworthy local homebuyers offered the best chance since the start of the credit crunch to buy a new home without a hefty deposit.

Leading housebuilder Barratt Homes is hailing the return of 95 per cent mortgages for buyers of new homes – which was announced by David Cameron and Nick Clegg as part of the Government’s national Housing Strategy – as a real boost for the local housing market and local economy.

“The key thing about the return of 95 per cent mortgages on new build homes is that people will no longer need huge deposits of up to 20 per cent of the price of the property,” said Sandra Carter, Sales Manager at Barratt Northampton.

“Even though house prices have fallen since 2007, not everyone has been able to take advantage because of the hefty deposits which lenders have been demanding ever since the credit crunch began.”

“Now the banks have agreed to start lending again on new build homes at 95 per cent loan to value, so homebuyers will only need a deposit of five per cent. In practice that means that you could buy a home from Barratt Homes with a deposit of just £7,263.”

“Make no mistake – this is a game changing moment for creditworthy buyers who have been understandably frustrated for years about not owning a home of their own. Anyone who doesn’t have much equity in their current home but needs to take their next step on the housing ladder also stands to benefit.”

Barratt Homes has already set-up a special portal for customers to register their interest online at http://www.barratthomes.co.uk/Offers/Other-offers/95percentmortgage/.

The 95 per cent mortgages will be on offer from all the leading lenders in the New Year, are expected to be priced at competitive rates and should not involve any more complications than getting a normal mortgage. The product is specifically designed for new build homes.

Barratt Homes says that the 95 per cent mortgages represent one more reason why newly built homes are a better deal than their second-hand counterparts. Barratt Homes is the only leading housebuilder which guarantees all the internal fixtures and fittings in a new home for a full five years – in other words, the first 1,824 days of occupancy.

Sandra added: “Now that we have 95 per cent mortgages, I expect lots of local people who have been thinking about a second-hand home will look at what new home builders have to offer.”

Barratt Homes is currently selling homes at the following developments in the Bedfordshire area:

For more information on Barratt’s range of services to help you move please call the sales hotline on 0844 811 3399 open seven days a week from 8am to 9pm. Alternatively, please log on to www.barratthomes.co.uk


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Real-estate values rose an average of 8.65% last year

The value of land in Taiwan as assessed by local governments rose an average of 8.65 percent last year from a year earlier, the Ministry of the Interior (MOI) said yesterday.

In terms of individual lots, the land across from the Taipei Main Station where the Shin Kong Life Tower stands is the most expensive in the country, with an assessed value of about NT$1.21 million (US$39,950) per square meter, the ministry said.

The ministry releases a land value survey at the end of every year based on data collected from local governments to provide an indicator of Taiwan’s real-estate market conditions. Actual transaction prices are generally higher than the government’s assessed land value, which is used to calculate the land value increment tax.

The ministry said yesterday that the government-assessed value averages 83.67 percent of actual -market value across Taiwan.

According to ministry statistics, assessed land values in Hsinchu City rose 23.49 percent from a year earlier, the largest increase anywhere in Taiwan.

Land values also rose considerably in Greater Taichung (by 15.7 percent), New Taipei City (新北市) (by 12.19 percent), Yilan County (by 10.72 percent) and Taipei (by 9.87 percent).

Elsewhere, the assessed land value rose 3.87 percent from a year earlier in Greater Tainan, 4.05 percent in Greater Kaohsiung and 7.84 percent in Taoyuan.

Meanwhile, the ministry also provided data on the residential real-estate market.

It said home transactions in November last year rose almost 10 percent from a month earlier to 27,403 units, rebounding from a recent slump caused by the implementation of the luxury tax aimed at curbing speculation in the real–estate -market, the ministry said.

However, the November figure was down 26 percent from a year earlier, it said. A luxury tax went into effect in June, with a 15 percent sales tax imposed on second homes sold within one year of purchase and a 10 percent sales tax on properties sold between one and two years after they were purchased.

In 2010, an average of 34,000 homes were sold each month, but owing to the impact of the luxury tax, monthly transactions in the second half of last year fell below 30,000 units, ranging between 25,000 units and 28,000 units, the ministry said.

In November last year, home transaction volume in Taipei rose 5 percent from October, but fell 34 percent from a year earlier, while volume in New Taipei City was up 6 percent from October, but down 44 percent year-on-year, the statistics showed.


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US Home Sales Up 7.3 Percent


U.S. Home Sales Up 7.3 Percent

The housing sector continues to remain sluggish, despite all the governmental policies, and so far most accounts regarding this business have been grim. The good news is that according to the data, U.S. home sales improved in November, going up 7.3 percent.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) published today the figures on the index of pending home sales in the United States for November. According to their report, U.S. home sales managed to beat Bloomberg’s forecast and hit the highest level since April 2010. Bloomberg surveyed several economists that estimated only a 1.5 percent gain for November’s U.S. home sales.

At the same time, the association’s report also showed an index level for pending home sales of 100.1 on a seasonally adjusted basis. Any ranking over 100 is a good sign, plus it also mark the average level of contract activity in 2001, a time considered to be “historically healthy” for real estate.

As stated by analysts, the 7.3 percent increase of the previous month is due to falling prices and low borrowing costs that finally became more appealing to buyers. Plus, the whole sector seems to be improving at a faster pace, as construction projects and builder confidence expand and the number of existing homes on the market declines.

Pierre Ellis, analyst at Decision Economics, believes buyers are “feeling comfortable with their personal situations and with the house-price trend”.

The association also pointed out that some of the increase is attributed to “buyers recommitting after an initial contract ran into problems, often with the mortgage”. NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun added that even if “housing affordability conditions are at a record high and there is a pent-up demand from buyers who’ve been on the sidelines”, contract failures are still a significant concern.

Aaron Smith, senior economist at Moody’s Analytics, said despite buyers “becoming more confident and are attracted to record-low mortgage rates”, the overall activity in the sector “still looks depressed by historical standards”.

Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal writes that the NAR’s recent report might not be that accurate. Mark Zandi, chief economist with Moody’s analytics, said: “Their revised estimates are better, but I’m not convinced they are all that much better”.


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Prices of shoebox apartments slide in November

Prices of completed shoebox apartments peaked in August and dropped three percent in November, according to the flash estimates from NUS’ Institute of Real Estate Studies.

Month-on-month, prices of these units dropped 0.2 percent in November.

The flash estimates also showed that prices of larger apartments in both Central and Non-Central regions continued to rise in the previous month.

Since 2010, the price hike for shoebox apartments in Singapore has been slower compared to larger apartments in the Non-Central region (NCR) but faster than for larger apartments in the Central Region.

Meanwhile, flash estimates for the Singapore Residential Price Index (SRPI) revealed that the sub-index for shoebox apartments in the country dropped 0.2 percent month-on-month in November. The index has declined three percent since peaking in August.

The SRPI for the NCR (excluding shoebox apartments) climbed 1.8 percent month-on-month, while the sub-index for the Central region rose 1.5 percent in November.

In addition, the Overall SRPI rose 1.7 percent month-on-month in November, up from the one percent month-on-month growth in October.

“As more of these units are completed, those who can’t hold may be under pressure to sell. So far, rents of small apartments have held well, but competition for tenants may intensify when more such stock is completed,” said Ong Choon Fah, Chief Operating Officer of DTZ Southeast Asia. Related Stories:More local investors look to offshore propertiesCollective sales surpass S$3b markPollux Properties acquires Geylang Rd property

More from PropertyGuru:
More local investors look to offshore properties
Collective sales surpass S$3b mark
Pollux Properties acquires Geylang Rd property
Majority of S’poreans still feel homes too expensive


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Veterans can qualify for $10,000 ‘forgivable’ loan to buy a home

Gov. Pat Quinn launched the program, Welcome Home Heroes Illinois, on Dec. 14 to provide those Illinois men and women in the service with some help with the down payment, closing costs and up to $21,000 in a mortgage credit certificate. A mortgage credit certificate allows the buyer to use 20 percent of the their annual mortgage interest as a direct federal tax credit that results in a dollar-for-dollar reduction in their annual federal income tax liability. The remaining 80 percent would qualify as an itemized tax deduction.

Illinois Housing Development Authority spokeswoman Rebecca Boykin said the $10,000 loan is forgivable for those qualified applicants who remain in their home for at least two years. She said this program is the most comprehensive financing package available for veterans.

“It makes homeownership more affordable for a lot of veterans coming home who are on limited incomes,” Boykin said. “And so this is a way they can achieve the dream of homeownership affordably. This is a great gift we can give our military families.”

The program is paid for by $5 million in Illinois Jobs Now! capital money and another $5 million from the Illinois Affordable Housing Trust Fund. This $10 million investment is expected to generate an estimated 405 full-time jobs, $16.7 million from real estate-related industries, more than $5.3 million in economic activity for the state plus an additional $10.6 million in other statewide spending.

Active military personnel, reservists and Illinois National Guard members must be first-time home buyers, but other veterans do not. Buyers also must qualify based on their income and purchase price limits:

* A family of three or more living in St. Clair, Madison, Monroe, Clinton, Calhoun, Jersey and Macoupin counties cannot have an annual income exceeding $81,765 for a home with a maximum purchase price of $328,146.

*A household of one or two people residing in those same counties cannot have a yearly income more than $71,100 for a home with a maximum purchase price of $256,329.

As almost 20,000 Illinois National Guard troops have deployed overseas since Sept. 11, 2001, the Illinois National Guard has found that recently returned veterans from Iraq and Afghanistan are 33 percent more likely to be unemployed, and many are underemployed. A tight credit environment is making it more difficult for veterans to get financing for homeownership and conventional home loans require a borrower to buy private mortgage insurance when paying less than 20 percent down. Private mortgage insurance providers have tightened restrictions since the housing market’s slide about five years ago by raising credit-score and down-payment requirements.

Illinois National Guard spokesman Maj. Brad Leighton said this new program will provide a tremendous lift to support soldiers returning home and who have served.

“We’re fully supportive of it,” Leighton said. “It’s another thing for our soldiers to help them get started in their life.”

Real estate broker Tina Besserman, of Century 21 Bailey Co. in Granite City, said she has been working to inform as many military-employed consumers about the Welcome Home Heroes Illinois program. She anticipates this initiative to provide great opportunities for many families in the metro-east area.

“It’s a huge deal,” Besserman said. “With Scott Air Force Base in our backyard, I think there are a lot of people who would like to know about the program.”

Goodin and her husband continue their search for their first home and are thankful for the state’s help.

“We appreciate it,” Goodin said. “They are making a huge difference in our life. We cannot thank the IHDA more.”


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Major Real Estate Index Shows no Santa Claus Rally for U.S. Home Prices!

NOVATO, Calif., Dec. 30, 2011 /PRNewswire/ — As of November 30, the Winans International Real Estate Index (WIREI)™ posted a decline of 8.8% through 2011 and confirms that housing is still in a severe bear market.

From an all-time record high of $296,000 set in March of 2007, the Winans International Real Estate Index (WIREI) had declined 22% to $228,500. In fact, this 4 1/2-year real estate bear market is the worst price drop in new home prices since the 33% decline from 1939 to 1945.

“Since the WIREI posts results a month earlier than other real estate indexes, it is a leading indicator in showing the continued poor health of the housing market. Unfortunately, tight credit conditions and high inventory levels continue to keep pressure on home price appreciation. The next housing bull market is probably several years away,” says Ken Winans, and President of Winans International (www.winansintl.com) and market researcher.

The Winans International Real Estate Index (symbol: WIREI)™ is the only index that measures U.S. home prices from 1830 to present and posts new housing data without a 2-month lag found with other popular real estate indexes.

Winans International also developed an international housing index, called Winans-Taylor International Real Estate Index (symbol: WTIREI), by gathering 37 years of new home data from 36 countries and developing an approach to effectively combine these global studies of new home prices into single dataset.

More information on the Winans International real estate indices can be found at www.winansintl.com or www.globalfinancialdata.com

SOURCE Winans International


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Illinois program helps military members buy homes

Gov. Pat Quinn launched the program, Welcome Home Heroes Illinois, on Dec. 14 to provide those Illinois men and women in the service with some help with the down payment, closing costs and up to $21,000 in a mortgage credit certificate. A mortgage credit certificate allows the buyer to use 20 percent of the their annual mortgage interest as a direct federal tax credit that results in a dollar-for-dollar reduction in their annual federal income tax liability. The remaining 80 percent would qualify as an itemized tax deduction.

Illinois Housing Development Authority spokeswoman Rebecca Boykin said the $10,000 loan is forgivable for those qualified applicants who remain in their home for at least two years. She said this program is the most comprehensive financing package available for veterans.

“It makes homeownership more affordable for a lot of veterans coming home who are on limited incomes,” Boykin said. “And so this is a way they can achieve the dream of homeownership affordably. This is a great gift we can give our military families.”

The program is funded by $5 million in Illinois Jobs Now! capital funds and another $5 million from the Illinois Affordable Housing Trust Fund. This $10 million investment is expected to generate an estimated405 full-time jobs,$16.7 million from real estate-related industries, more than $5.3 million in economic activity for the state plus an additional $10.6 million in other statewide spending.

Active military personnel, reservists and Illinois National Guard members must be first-time home buyers, but other veterans do not. Buyers also must qualify based on their income and purchase price limits:

* A family of three or more living in St. Clair, Madison, Monroe, Clinton, Calhoun, Jersey and Macoupin counties cannot have an annual income exceeding $81,765 for a home with a maximum purchase price of $328,146.

*A household of one or two people residing in those same counties cannot have a yearly income more than $71,100 for a home with a maximum purchase price of $256,329.

As almost 20,000 Illinois National Guard troops have deployed overseas since Sept. 11, 2001, the Illinois National Guard has found that recently returned veterans from Iraq and Afghanistan are 33 percent more likely to be unemployed, and many are underemployed. A tight credit environment is making it more difficult for veterans to get financing for homeownership and conventional home loans require a borrower to buy private mortgage insurance when paying less than 20 percent down. Private mortgage insurance providers have tightened restrictions since the housing market’s slide about five years ago by raising credit-score and down-payment requirements.

Illinois National Guard spokesman Major Brad Leighton said this new program will provide a tremendous lift to support soldiers returning home and who have served.

“We’re fully supportive of it,” Leighton said. “It’s another thing for our soldiers to help them get started in their life.”

Real estate broker Tina Besserman, of Century 21 Bailey Co. in Granite City, said she has been working to inform as many military-employed consumers about Welcome Home Heroes Illinois program. She anticipates this initiative to provide great opportunities for many families in the metro-east area.

“It’s a huge deal,” Besserman said. “With Scott Air Force Base in our backyard, I think there are a lot of people who would like to know about the program.”

Goodin and her husband continue their search for their first home and are thankful for the state’s help.

“We appreciate it,” Goodin said. “They are making a huge difference in our life. We cannot thank the IHDA more.”


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